Investment · projection

Compare shares

Why this matters. A mix of share indexes grows by the return you type, minus the fees you type. The boxes are assumptions. The past-performance lines are labelled as past, and they are not copied into those boxes. A fall you switch on is an illustration, not a forecast.

Put 100% of starting capital and monthly additions across the three. Drag the mix — it always adds to 100%. The thick line is your blend. The thin lines are 100% in one index, for comparison.

Assumptions

$0 to $15,000
1 years to 40 years

Your mix · 100%

Whole portfolio sits in these three. Changing one rescales the others.

50% ASX · 30% S&P · 20% Nasdaq

0 % to 100 %
0 % to 100 %
0 % to 100 %
Rebalance back to this mix once a year
Show 100% comparison lines
0 % to 6 % · Used only when “real dollars” is on.
Show real (today’s) dollars

Fee and tax drag

Both start at 0%, so the chart matches the per-index fee already set below until you move them.

0 % to 2 % · On top of the fee already set on each index.
0 % to 3 % · A percentage taken off the return each year. Not a tax assessment.
Assumed returns and fees

Defaults you can override. Not a forecast, and not the past-performance figures beside the chart.

ASX 200

VAS / IOZ · S&P/ASX 200–300 Australian shares

On chart
0 % to 20 %
0 % to 1.5 %

S&P 500

IVV · US large-cap, unhedged AUD

On chart
0 % to 20 %
0 % to 1.5 %

Nasdaq-100

NDQ · US tech-heavy 100, unhedged AUD

On chart
0 % to 20 %
0 % to 1.5 %

Projection

Your mix

$1,759,022Assumption you typed

Contributions in

$530,000

Mix net return

9.51%

Vs 100% ASX

$247,692

100% ASX 200

$1,511,330

100% S&P 500

$1,874,391

100% Nasdaq-100

$2,350,385

Mix 50/30/20. Sleeves reset to those weights each year. Starting capital and every monthly addition are split on day one of each month. Unhedged AUD. No franking, no CGT. Law since 26 June 2026 (Tax Reform No. 1 Act 2026). From 1 July 2027, negative gearing of residential property is limited to new builds. Properties held at 7:30pm AEST on 12 May 2026 are exempt from the negative gearing change. From 1 July 2027 the 50% CGT discount is replaced by cost base indexation and a 30% minimum tax rate, for gains that accrue after that date. General information only. ATO: the new law (updated 29 Jun 2026) ↗ · Tax Reform No. 1 Act 2026 ↗ Portfolio MER 0.00% and tax drag 0.00% come off every sleeve. Chart is nominal. Not a forecast.

Falls

S&P Dow Jones Indices, education paper on the S&P 500 Managed Risk 2.0 indices. Data from 28 March 1990 to 31 March 2020. The paper does not call these the all-time worst falls, and it is not a 2026 factsheet. The S&P/ASX 200 price-return factsheet as of 30 September 2026 publishes risk as annualised standard deviation. It does not publish a peak-to-trough worst fall, so this page does not print one for the ASX 200.

  • S&P 500, Global financial crisis. -55.3% Peak 5 October 2007, trough 9 March 2009. S&P 500 column of that table.
  • S&P 500, Dot-com. -47.4% Peak 1 September 2000, trough 9 October 2002.
  • S&P 500, COVID-19 sell-off. -33.8% Peak 19 February 2020, trough 23 March 2020. The paper’s figures stop at 31 March 2020.

S&P Dow Jones education paper, data to 31 March 2020 ↗

S&P/ASX 200 factsheet, price return, as of 30 September 2026 ↗

What a 30% fall does to this projection

Off. The projection above is unchanged.

Past performance, not a forecast

The 8.5%, 10% and 12% boxes are assumptions you can edit. They are not these published returns.

  • S&P/ASX 200 (TR) ↗ 9.04% a year13 October 2026

    10-year annualised. Total return. Not the 8.5% box. S&P Dow Jones Indices, featured total-return table.

  • S&P 500 (TR) ↗ 15.72% a year13 October 2026

    10-year annualised. The index provider’s total return. Not an unhedged Australian-dollar return, and not the 10% box. S&P Dow Jones Indices, featured total-return table.

Nasdaq-100 past performance is published by Nasdaq. This page does not copy a figure from that page into the 12% box. Nasdaq-100 ↗

Next: If you'd invested — What those markets actually did, not the assumption.

What doctors often miss

The chart uses the returns and fees you type. The extra MER and tax-drag boxes start at 0%. A typed return is not a forecast.

Included / Not included

Included

  • The starting amount, monthly addition, mix, and return you type · Example assumption, editable

Not included

  • Tax on distributions, franking credits, and the CGT discount. Law since 26 June 2026 (Tax Reform No. 1 Act 2026). From 1 July 2027, negative gearing of residential property is limited to new builds. Properties held at 7:30pm AEST on 12 May 2026 are exempt from the negative gearing change. From 1 July 2027 the 50% CGT discount is replaced by cost base indexation and a 30% minimum tax rate, for gains that accrue after that date. General information only. https://www.ato.gov.au/about-ato/new-legislation/in-detail/individuals/tax-reform-boosting-home-ownership-reforming-negative-gearing-and-capital-gains-tax https://www.legislation.gov.au/C2026A00049/asmade
  • Investment returns that change from year to year
  • Inflation and currency movement
  • Super caps, contributions tax, and fund fees beyond the fee you type
  • Dividends as cash you can spend. They are inside the return if you put them there
  • Brokerage, unless it is inside a fee you type

Assumptions you can edit are the inputs on this page. This is a model, not a prediction, a tax assessment, or a recommendation.

A rough figure — not advice. Terms

Also

Advertisement — labelled, never inside the number.

Sources used

Direct document for each published figure on this page. A number you type, with no row here, is an example assumption, editable. It is not a published rate.

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